BaseCase
Prediction markets, decentralized.
BaseCase builds a permissionless prediction market protocol where anyone can create and trade markets on real-world outcomes using USDC. Markets are self-bootstrapped, fully collateralized, and resolved on-chain. Powered by $CASE.
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MEET BASECASE
The Infrastructure for Decentralized Prediction Markets.
Prediction markets are powerful tools for price discovery, but today they rely on centralized operators, expensive liquidity, or opaque settlement. BaseCase rebuilds them as open, permissionless markets that fund themselves and settle on-chain. Built on Base.
The Vision
BaseCase is the foundational layer for decentralized forecasting.
Vision
An open prediction market system where anyone can create markets, contribute liquidity, and trade outcomes transparently - without centralized control.
How it works
→ Markets bootstrap via bonding curves
→ YES / NO outcome shares are minted and fully backed by USDC
→ Markets transition to open trading
→ Outcomes are resolved via decentralized oracles
Why now
Global markets increasingly rely on probabilistic forecasts, yet existing platforms are centralized, illiquid, or unsustainable. BaseCase aligns incentives so markets can form organically and scale without external subsidies.
The Opportunity
Open markets for global outcome forecasting.
Prediction markets enable real-time price discovery on future events, and adoption is accelerating - with players like MetaMask, Binance, and even CNN getting involved.
Tough competition, you might think. But with BaseCase, you’re not just taking a bet on one prediction market.
As demand grows, the space is fragmenting. Each platform is rebuilding the same market creation, liquidity, and settlement stack in isolation.
BaseCase doesn’t compete with these platforms: it helps power them. As neutral, permissionless infrastructure, BaseCase can feed markets into existing platforms, support liquidity at launch, and share in the value generated across the ecosystem.
You’re not betting on one winner. You’re backing the infrastructure that sits underneath them all.
Global Prediction Markets (Today)
Projected Market Size (2027–28)
Forecasted CAGR
Proven Annual Volume
Peak Monthly Volume
Untapped Long-Tail Events
HOW IT WORKS
Launch markets instantly with zero capital. Shadow liquidity provides virtual reserves for immediate trading.
Buy or sell outcome shares using a CPMM bonding curve. Prices adjust dynamically with demand.
At 100% solvency, markets upgrade to Order Book trading with real ERC-20 outcome tokens.
$CASE UTILITY
At the core of the BaseCase protocol lies the $CASE token: the utility token that aligns market creators, traders, and long-term stakeholders.
$CASE connects protocol usage, market creation, and revenue generation into a single economic system, enabling participation, incentives, and governance across the BaseCase ecosystem.
1. Rewards & Participation
Stake $CASE to earn a share of protocol revenue generated across BaseCase markets.
Holders who actively stake $CASE receive distributions from protocol fees, aligning long-term participation with platform growth.
Fee sources contributing to revenue share:
- Trading fees (0.1%)
- Bonding fees (2.0%)
- Graduation fees (2.0%)
Distribution:
- 50% of collected fees are distributed to stakers
- Fees are distributed proportionally based on stake size
Eligibility:
- Minimum stake: 10,000 $CASE
- Tokens must be actively staked in the protocol
2. Access & Utility
$CASE unlocks enhanced protocol access and economic advantages. Stakers receive:
- Reduced bonding thresholds when creating markets
- Priority resolution access
- Enhanced creator rewards
These benefits lower friction for market creators and incentivize high-quality market creation.
3. Revenue-Aligned Design
BaseCase uses a direct revenue-sharing model rather than inflationary emissions.
Protocol fees accumulate in a fee vault and are:
- Distributed proportionally to stakers
- Claimable at any time
- Not auto-compounded
This design ties token value directly to real protocol usage and revenue generation.
TOKEN OVERVIEW
Token Name: BaseCase
Symbol: $CASE
Total Supply: 1,000,000,000
Network: Base (Coinbase L2)
Type: ERC-20
TOKEN ALLOCATION
REVENUE SHARE MECHANICS
How it works:
1. Protocol fees accumulate in the fee vault
2. Fees are distributed proportionally to $CASE stakers
3. Claims are available at any time
Distribution formula:
Your Share = (Your Staked CASE / Total Staked CASE) × Fee Pool
Example:
Total staked: 100,000,000 $CASE
Your stake: 500,000 $CASE
Weekly fees: $10,000 USDC
Your share: $50 USDC
Key Metrics:
Total Supply: 1,000,000,000
Max Circulating (Year 1): ~300,000,000
Staking Threshold: 10,000 $CASE
Max Revenue Share Participants: ~100,000 wallets
Basecase Ecosystem
Decentralized Infrastructure for Prediction Markets. BaseCase is built as a modular system enabling permissionless outcome markets without centralized operators.
1. Market Creation
Anyone can create a prediction market on a real-world event through the BaseCase protocol.
2. Liquidity Bootstrapping
Markets bootstrap liquidity through participant deposits using a bonding curve mechanism, without relying on external market makers.
3. Trading
Once liquidity thresholds are reached, markets transition to open trading with transparent pricing.
4. Settlement
Outcomes are resolved on-chain using decentralized optimistic oracles, ensuring trustless settlement.
How to Enter the BaseCase Launch on SEED
The BaseCase launch follows a structured SEED rollout, covering pre-sale access, Token Generation Event (TGE), and post-launch trading and vesting. The $CASE TGE takes place on 15 January.
Participation is available to:
Eligible SEED holders (using live holding checks)
Pineapple Mansion members under existing tier rules.
Allocations are capped, transparent, and verified again at TGE.
LIVE: January 8thThe $CASE TGE takes place on 15 January.
Chain: Base
Trading venue: PineappleDEX
Contract address: Shared 10-30 minutes before launch via verified channels
Liquidity is added during the TGE and trading opens shortly after. To protect the launch, temporary higher transaction taxes may apply during the first 1-2 minutes after trading opens. This is intentional and temporary.
After launch:
$CASE becomes tradable on PineappleDEX
Final pre-sale allocations are confirmed
Tokens vest linearly over three months, unlocking by the minute
Claiming is available once enabled via Sablier
For full details on eligibility, caps, timelines, vesting, and claiming:
Read the full BaseCase launch guide